Sure, James Madison has the better offense of the two, but I’m not sure it’s a huge difference. Both of these teams are built on strong defense and complementary offense. James Madison is the best team in the Sun Belt, but this is a big price to be laying on the road against a solid Marshall squad. Shop around for this line because some books are starting to post some +3s. Model projection: Sam Houston State 21.3, FIU 18.3 Marshall +3.5 (-115) vs. I do think Sam Houston State should be favored in this game despite being 0-6 but this is too many points. Somehow, they make FIU’s offense (110th) look competent. Per TruMedia, Sam Houston State ranks 133rd in offensive EPA/Play.

Sam Houston State has a quality defense but my numbers do not love its offense. The line is currently in a dead zone, but I’m not confident it gets to +6 so I’ll take a stab here. FIU +5.5 (-110) at Sam Houston StateīetMGM currently has the best number in the market so I’m glad to hop on here. All odds are from BetMGM and are locked when the pick was made.

For example, if I bet under 49.5 and the “worst line to bet” is 49 -110, I would not make that bet at 48.5 -110 or 49 -115.Īll bets are to win one unit on favorites and risk one unit on underdogs unless otherwise noted. Worst line to bet is the final number that I would make a bet at. Over the course of the season, a half point here or five cents there will add up. Please make sure to shop around at various sportsbooks for the best possible number. USC, Michigan, Washington: Bruce Feldman's seen and heard in CFB so far Week 8 college football best bets

College football best bets